The Leeds United vs Burnley match being played tomorrow, 1st of May, 2026, is a crucial Premier League fixture at Elland Road. For Leeds, it is an opportunity to all but secure top-flight survival following their exit from the FA Cup semi-finals, while Burnley arrives with their relegation to the Championship already mathematically confirmed. As the lineups of the game take form, this is a summary of their recent history:

Head-to-Head Summary (Last 10 matches)

Leeds United Wins: 4

Burnley Wins: 3

Draws: 3

Total Yellow Cards: 40

Average Yellow Cards: 4.0 per match

Total Red Cards: 0

Penalties: 2 (1 for each side)

Overall, matches between these two have been closely fought, though Burnley managed to secure a 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Leeds, however, has lost just twice in their last ten home games against the Clarets.

Most Recent Match (18 October 2025): Burnley 2 - 0 Leeds United

Goals

Total goals scored: 22

Average goals per match: 2.2

Goal Breakdown

Leeds United: 12

Burnley: 10

Home and Away Analysis

Leeds United has been remarkably steady at Elland Road, where they have become increasingly difficult to break down under Daniel Farke. They have lost only twice in their last eight home league matches and recently dispatched Wolves 3-0 in front of their home support.

Burnley has endured a miserable campaign on the road, contributing to their early relegation. They have managed only four league wins all season and average over 3.5 goals per away game, largely due to a defensive line that has conceded 68 goals across the campaign.

Tactical Matchup and Style of Play

Leeds United

Daniel Farke has implemented a more resilient 4-2-3-1 or 3-4-2-1 system that prioritizes defensive stability. They rely on the clinical form of Noah Okafor, who has scored five of the team’s last seven goals, and the creative engine room featuring Ethan Ampadu and Ao Tanaka. They focus on wide transitions and exploiting high lines.

Burnley

The Clarets have struggled to adapt their expansive style to the Premier League this season. While they attempt to maintain possession and build from the back, they have often been punished for individual errors and a lack of clinical finishing, averaging exactly 1.0 goal per match while conceding double that amount.

Current Season Form

Leeds United

They are 15th in the table with 40 points. Their recent league form is excellent (W-W-D-W-W), moving them six points clear of the relegation zone. They have scored 44 goals and conceded 51, showing a significant improvement in defensive organization during the spring.

Burnley

They sit 19th with 20 points and are officially relegated. Their recent form is poor (L-W-L-L-L), with their only win since February coming against Nottingham Forest. They have struggled at both ends of the pitch, recording a league-high 22 defeats so far.

Injuries and Expectations

Leeds will be without Ilia Gruev for the remainder of the season due to a knee injury, and a late decision will be made on left-back Gabriel Gudmundsson (hamstring). However, the return of Karl Darlow in goal and a nearly fit squad provides plenty of depth. Burnley, playing for pride, faces the challenge of motivation following their confirmed drop to the Championship. Expectations at Elland Road are for a dominant Leeds performance, as a win would effectively end any lingering fears of relegation and allow Farke’s men to play with total freedom in the final matches.

Favourites to win

Given the stats in the Leeds United vs Burnley clash, Leeds United are the heavy favorites to win, given their surging league form and Burnley’s confirmed relegation. While the Clarets occasionally pull off a surprise on the road, Leeds’ defensive solidity and the scintillating form of Noah Okafor should be enough to secure a comfortable victory and Premier League safety for another year.

You can place your prediction on how the match goes, and the algorithm will immediately place you on a leaderboard where other football enthusiasts have also placed their predictions. A total of 20 participants will be rewarded: if you finish in the top 5, you get £10; positions 6-10 receive £5, and positions 11-20 earn £3.