The Hull City vs Millwall match being played today, 8th of May, 2026, is a massive EFL Championship Play-Off semi-final first leg at the MKM Stadium. Both teams have been the surprise packages of the season, with Millwall finishing 3rd and Hull City securing the final play-off spot in 6th. As the lineups for this high-stakes promotion battle take form, here is a summary of their recent history:

Head-to-Head Summary (Last 10 matches)

Hull City Wins: 4

Millwall Wins: 4

Draws: 2

Total Yellow Cards: 42

Average Yellow Cards: 4.2 per match

Total Red Cards: 1

Penalties: 2

Matches between these two have been extremely balanced over the last few years. However, Millwall holds the psychological edge in the most recent encounter, having secured a dominant 3-1 victory at the MKM Stadium just two months ago.

Most Recent Match (7 March 2026): Hull City 1 - 3 Millwall

Goals

Total goals scored: 24

Average goals per match: 2.4

Goal Breakdown

Hull City: 11

Millwall: 13

Home and Away Analysis

Hull City has relied on their home support to reach the top six, though their recent form at the MKM Stadium has been shaky, including a disappointing loss to Millwall in March. They finished the regular season with 21 wins but have struggled for momentum in the final weeks, failing to win any of their last five matches.

Millwall arrives as the league’s 3rd-best team, having pushed for automatic promotion until the final day. They have been excellent on the road, boasting one of the best defensive records in the Championship, conceding only 49 goals across the entire 46-game campaign.

Tactical Matchup and Style of Play

Hull City

Under Sergej Jakirovic, the Tigers play an expansive style that focuses on possession and wing play. They rely on the finishing of Joe Gelhardt and the creative spark of Liam Millar. However, their defensive line has been prone to lapses, conceding 66 goals this season—the highest among the top six teams.

Millwall

Alex Neil has turned the Lions into a disciplined, high-pressing unit that is incredibly difficult to break down. They focus on physical dominance and set-pieces, with captain Jake Cooper being a major threat in both boxes. They prefer to disrupt the opponent's rhythm and strike through clinical forwards like Mihailo Ivanovic and Josh Coburn.

Current Season Form

Hull City

They finished 6th in the table with 73 points. Their recent form is concerning (L-L-D-D-D), as they limped into the play-offs without a win in their last five outings. They have scored 70 goals but have struggled to keep clean sheets against top-half opposition.

Millwall

They finished 3rd with 83 points. Their recent form is steady (D-W-D-W-L), having narrowly missed out on 2nd place to Ipswich Town. They are the form team entering this tie, characterized by their defensive grit and efficiency in front of goal.

Injuries and Expectations

Hull City is facing a major injury crisis at the worst possible time. Midfielders Eliot Matazo (ACL), Amir Hadziahmetovic (knee), and Darko Gyabi (groin) are all ruled out. There was hope that David Akintola could be re-registered to help, but he remains unavailable. Millwall is missing goalkeeper Lukas Jensen (Achilles) and Danny McNamara (knee), but they have a much deeper squad to navigate this first leg. Expectations are for a cagey affair where Hull will try to take a lead to London, while Millwall will be content to stay compact and use their physical advantage.

Favourites to win

Given the stats in the Hull City vs Millwall clash, Millwall are the favorites to progress over two legs due to their superior defensive record and recent win at this ground. However, with the home crowd behind them and the stakes of a Premier League return on the line, Hull City will hope a moment of individual brilliance from Gelhardt can give them a narrow advantage before the return leg at The Den.

You can place your prediction on how the match goes, and the algorithm will immediately place you on a leaderboard where other football enthusiasts have also placed their predictions. A total of 20 participants will be rewarded: if you finish in the top 5, you get £10; positions 6-10 receive £5, and positions 11-20 earn £3.